Welcome to February!
In this month’s newsletter I review the Brooklyn and Manhattan real estate markets and cover some of the latest trends, opportunities, and challenges. Whether you're considering a move or simply keeping abreast of the market, I hope you find this update to be a handy guide for recent market information, news, and events.
Brooklyn Real Estate Market Snapshot
As of the beginning of February, Brooklyn had 2,898 properties for sale with 153 new listings in the past week and 714 over the past month. Supply increased by 1% compared to January, yet remains 12.7% lower on a year over year. Despite the 43.3% increase in monthly new listings, supply is still relatively tight in Brooklyn from a historical perspective.
With respect to demand, Brooklyn saw 412 contracts signed in the past 30 days, representing a 9.9% increase on a year over year basis. In the last week, there were 101 contracts signed representing a 21.7% uptick from the preceding week, suggesting strong underlying demand.
According to our recent Market Report, Brooklyn apartment sales experienced a 22% decline in the fourth quarter relative to the same period one year ago. A spike in mortgage rates to a 23-year peak in mid-October contributed significantly to the downturn. Higher rates also played a part in pushing prices lower, with the average apartment price 7% below the
fourth quarter of 2022. The median price fell 5% over the past year to $700,000, its lowest level since
the third quarter of 2020.
However, the recent dip in mortgage rates and positive economic indicators such as declining inflation and strong consumer spending offer reasons for optimism in 2024.
Manhattan Real Estate Market Snapshot
As of the beginning of February, Manhattan had 5,859 properties for sale, with 281 new listings coming to market in the past week. While weekly new listings increased by 4% from the prior week, supply remains constrained when viewed against historical cycles. Demand has seen a gradual increase, with 639 contracts signed in the last 30 days. From a buyer/seller negotiating leverage standpoint, Manhattan appears to be in neutral territory.
As with Brooklyn, the Manhattan apartment market's fourth quarter of 2023 was significantly influenced by rising mortgage rates likely contributing to the 2% quarterly decline and 27% annual decline in closings. Despite the challenges, the market showed signs of resilience with average and median apartment prices edging higher than in the fourth quarter of 2022.
Open House Trends
January's open house activities showed a promising upturn, likely spurred by an increase in inventory from December and favorable mortgage rates. While weather conditions have slightly dampened activity, the overall trend points to healthy engagement, with average attendance of 2.67 buying groups per open house.
Economic Highlights: A Promising End to 2023
The U.S. economy outperformed expectations in the fourth quarter of 2023, growing at a 3.3% annual rate. This positive momentum, coupled with a deceleration in inflation and strong consumer spending, suggests a promising outlook for the real estate market in the coming months.
Mortgage Rates Fall
Mortgage interest rates dropped on all loan terms from a week ago, according to rate data collected by Bankrate. Rates for 30-year fixed, 15-year fixed, 5/1 ARMs and jumbo loans all dropped. The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage for today is 6.91 percent, down 8 basis points over the last seven days. This time a month ago, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was higher, at 7.07 percent.
The Fed and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve signaled on Wednesday that it's is done raising interest rates but made it clear that it is not ready to start cutting. Decelerating inflation, a strong labor market and solid economic growth have been positive factors, providing the Fed with room to start easing up on monetary policy while cautioning that growth acceleration could drive prices higher again
.
Given the favorable economic backdrop coupled with strong housing demand, the Brooklyn and Manhattan real estate markets appear poised for a promising first half of 2024. Best of luck out there! As you navigate the market, please feel free to reach out for assistance or advice. I'm always happy to help.
All the best,
Steve